Peak Oil & Demand Destruction: Who Gets Destroyed? || Europe's Impending Social Meltdown

If each human family were dependent only on its own resources; if the children of improvident parents starved to death; if thus, over breeding brought its own "punishment" to the germ line -- then there would be no public interest in controlling the breeding of families. But our society is deeply committed to the welfare state, and hence is confronted with another aspect of the tragedy of the commons.

In a welfare state, how shall we deal with the family, the religion, the race, or the class (or indeed any distinguishable and cohesive group) that adopts over breeding as a policy to secure its own aggrandizement? To couple the concept of freedom to breed with the belief that everyone born has an equal right to the commons is to lock the world into a tragic course of action.
~ Killing Times: The Killing Times are Here: Population Policy || Depopulation or Perish || Tragedy of the Commons ~

Demand Destruction: Who Gets Destroyed?

Kurt Cobb, Resource Insights

Economists who comment on the possible effects of world peak oil production love to ridicule those who make statements such as "demand at some point will exceed supply." Strictly speaking, those economists are right that supply and demand are always in balance. The variable that changes to make it so is price.

So an economist who accepts the possibility of an oil peak may still believe that the marketplace will allow us to make a relatively smooth transition to a new energy economy as the price encourages the development of alternatives to oil and as demand is destroyed. The latter phrase is often glossed over. But demand destruction is at the core of misconceptions by economists about the likely course of events leading up to and following an oil peak.

A smooth transition away from oil mediated entirely by market prices essentially assumes two things: 1) a very gradual decline in oil supplies after the peak and 2) a recognition in the market price that the peak is coming long before it arrives.

Both assumptions are called into question by Robert Hirsch's study of oil depletion curves in various countries across the globe. Hirsch's study indicates that any world peak is likely to have a sharp crest followed by a swift decline in oil production--anywhere from 3 percent to 13 percent per year if the historical record can be relied upon. Hirsch also notes that "in all cases, it was not obvious that production was about to peak a year prior to the event." This would help explain why the second assumption listed above is likely to turn out to be wrong as well. Market participants are unlikely to see the peak coming. This means that prices will only start to signal that alternatives are needed for oil long after it is too late to prevent tremendous disruptions.

Douglas Reynolds gives a more detailed explanation of how energy and other mineral markets misinterpret price signals as indicative of future supplies. When finite mineral resources are involved, the market typically creates "the appearance of decreasing scarcity," something I've commented on previously in Faith-based economics II: The case of oil's sudden scarcity.

The final argument on which the smooth transition idea rests brings us back to demand destruction. An economist will properly point out that people will stop using oil for some applications and will turn to alternatives where they are available. All that is true enough. But it is worth asking what they mean by "applications." In reality, it is the poor who will stop using oil for "some applications," both in industrialized countries and across the world. If alternatives are not available or are just as expensive, they will simply have to forgo the benefits of those "applications." That will help keep a lid on oil prices, but it won't solve the problem: too little oil for all the activities that power and feed 6 billion people.

With a sudden decline in oil availability it is almost certain that agriculture, which is heavily dependent on oil and oil derivatives, will be less productive; that many marginal factories will close in short order; that tremendous financial turmoil will occur in world markets; that many people will have to do with less heat or without heat at all; that skyrocketing prices for transportation will prevent commodities including food from freely circulating around the world, and so on. In short, there would be no smooth transition.

The heightened price of oil would certainly encourage conservation--i.e., demand destruction--but that conservation might come in the form of terrible hardship for millions and perhaps billions of people and possibly death for many. That would give a rather gruesome connotation to the notion of demand destruction. High prices would also encourage the development of alternative energy sources, but that's assuming that world society does not become so disoriented and chaotic that such efforts cannot actually be effected.

If one assumes that the oil peak is far off and that technology will allow us to make a smooth transition to the next energy economy (and solve other related problems that threaten to annihilate us such as global warming), then there is no need to worry about the effects of sudden demand destruction in the oil markets. But, if the peak arrives soon, say, within the next 10 to 15 years, then no bloodless abstraction such as "demand destruction" will be able to obscure the fact that it is people who are going to get destroyed, and lots of them.

Source: Resource Insights (Jan 15, 2006)

Europe's Impending Social Meltdown

By Hans Vogel, Pravda.ru | 22.10.2009

Those in Europe who continue reading their trusted, national newspapers, watching the state-controlled TV news, or listening to state-controlled news broadcasts, will not know what is going on around them. They are being fed a rigorously controlled diet of largely unconnected stories that are designed to give an upbeat impression about the economy.

Yes, there are signs of recovery; yes, one individual businessman does see light at the end of the tunnel; no, the loss of jobs is not as serious as it seemed in the first place, well...any European may complete this list with his own examples. The upbeat news about the economy is presented within a wider framework of the usual trivia of traffic accidents, the private lives of celebrities, and the ubiquitous news about crimes committed by young Muslim immigrants from the mountainous regions of Northern Africa and Turkey.

What one will definitely not learn is, how the unfolding economic crisis, or rather, depression, is affecting Europe's social fabric. Yet it is absolutely vital for anyone in Europe to be informed about what the current economic disaster is doing to his next-door neighbors, to his fellow-men in the same neighborhood, in the rest of the country and in the neighboring countries. It is vital to know what is going on because very soon, most Europeans will probably have to face similar problems. These will eventually have an impact on the entire continent and drastically change its face for years to come. So far, the effects are absolutely devastating and beyond what anyone would have thought possible even a year ago.

Would you believe that half a million people in Spain go hungry? That their situation is so bad they are actually receiving food aid from the EU? These and other shocking facts are to be found in a publication called “The economic crisis and its humanitarian impact on Europe—Testimonies from the Red Cross Red Crescent,” recently published by the Red Cross Red Crescent. It is the first publication that gives an idea of the effects of the current crisis. Since it is just a first step in an effort to determine the extent and scope of what is going on, most of the information is still unquantified. Nevertheless, the report is deeply disturbing, not to say alarming.

Unemployment is on the rise everywhere. Youth unemployment in the EU stands at an average 20%. In the EU alone, some 50 million people are “currently vulnerable due to unemployment; and this does not take into account those that are not looking for work.” Vulnerability can be translated as being exposed to homelessness and hunger. The vulnerability has only increased and will continue to increase, due to governments cutting the budgets for welfare, health care, subsidies and other payments to the socially weak. In other words, those who are so far hardest hit by the crisis are your colleague who lost his job, your old grandmother, your sick uncle, your infant niece, your adolescent nephew who dropped out from school. When will it be your turn to be thrown out of your comfortable middle class existence?

Many middle class Europeans literally become ill from worrying. Many are losing sleep at night, many are taking to drink or drugs and still others are in need of psychiatric treatment. There are already many in the middle class who cannot pay the electricity bills, the heating bills, the telephone bills. Many families are being cut off from utilities and no doubt more will follow. In some countries, such as Hungary, special aid programs have been started to help pay people's heating bills or their mortgages.

In the US, millions have been thrown out of their homes for not being able to pay the mortgage. Thus, outside most US cities and towns, the new homeless are now living in tents. So far, this phenomenon does not seem to have hit Europe but, do not worry, it will soon.

Whereas support for the EU poor and indigent is slow in coming and piecemeal, being left largely to the Red Cross, the Church and assorted charities, support for fraudulent and incompetent banksters has been massive.

The aggregate bailout for banks in Europe is estimated at roughly three trillion Euros, a figure as big as the entire gross national product of Germany, Europe's biggest economy. Nor has the banking problem been solved by this generous funding. According to a February report in the Daily Telegraph, European Banks are still sitting on some 18 trillion Euros in toxic assets (as big as the entire EU GNP). One could go adding to this the lesser but still impressive amounts wasted on other items, such the millions of Euros spent on the criminal colonial war in Afghanistan, the lavish tax breaks for multinational corporations, the billions spent on policies and techniques to halt global warming (which is really a hoax as any thinking person should know), the billions spent on acquiring untested, dubious swine-flu vaccines...the list can be extended endlessly.

The discrepancy between the waste of astronomical sums of hard-earned taxpayer Euros and the minimal funds allotted to the poor and helpless can only be qualified by one word: shameless.

Moreover, what most people fail to realize is that all the money spent on banks, bonuses, wars, junkets and hazy schemes, has to come from somewhere. All of this at a time there is negative economic growth. Anybody even remotely familiar with economics will tell you that when the amount of money in circulation is increased at a faster rate than the growth of the economy, inflation will be the result. Although most of today's governments cannot resist the temptation to fiddle the data, manipulating things like inflation rates, the truth will somehow always come out. In other words, do not give credence to the official data on the economy and inflation.

It does not take a genius to figure out what will be a major result of the present erroneous policies: increased social misery, increased social tension, more insecurity and more crime. All the more so since there aren't any signs of recovery. Just keep in mind that international shipping has virtually ceased and that activity in Europe's main ports has dropped dramatically. Really, it is going to be a long wait for recovery to even begin. And it only remains to be seen whether recovery—if it comes—will lead to a restoration of pre-crisis living standards.

Meanwhile, both the EU and its member state governments are spending billions of Euros to spy on their citizens and to devise even craftier ways of finding out what each individual citizen is thinking. Remember, every single EU citizen is assumed to be a terrorist. Not since the days of Metternich and Guizot have so many European governments been so afraid of their citizens. It would seem government paranoia is justified. Most people in the EU are angry at their governments, angry at the Brussels eurocracy. Many are even boiling with rage. The British secret service now regards the middle class as potentially revolutionary and the most dangerous to the existing order

If history shows anything it is that it is impossible to continue governing without the consent of the majority. The history of rebellions and revolutions shows that these tend to break out when key sections of the population are afraid to lose their livelihoods, like today's European middle classes. There is no reason why these rules would suddenly have lost their validity.

Change may be coming sooner than most people think.

Source: Pravda

Paramilitary Training Camps in South Africa, Molotov Cocktail, Ed.1, March 2007

Today, 6.5 billion humans depend entirely on oil for food, energy, plastics & chemicals. Population growth is on a collision course with the inevitable decline in oil production.
~ The Oil Factor: Behind the War on Terror, Free Will Prod. ~

If each human family were dependent only on its own resources; if the children of improvident parents starved to death; if thus, over breeding brought its own "punishment" to the germ line -- then there would be no public interest in controlling the breeding of families. But our society is deeply committed to the welfare state, and hence is confronted with another aspect of the tragedy of the commons.

In a welfare state, how shall we deal with the family, the religion, the race, or the class (or indeed any distinguishable and cohesive group) that adopts over breeding as a policy to secure its own aggrandizement? To couple the concept of freedom to breed with the belief that everyone born has an equal right to the commons is to lock the world into a tragic course of action.
~ Killing Times: The Killing Times are Here || Depopulation or Perish || Tragedy of the Commons ~

Paramilitary Training Camps in South Africa

Molotov Cocktail, March 2007

Ronnie Kasrils recently declared that there were no ‘established training camps’ in South Africa associated with ‘Al-Qaeda or other such roupings’.

Molotov Cocktail can now reveal that the Minister of Intelligence has not been kept fully informed. There is one substantial training camp – Greenbushes – situated approximately 25 miles outside Port Elizabeth on the Old Cape Road and rumours persist that camps are also based at Vaal Dam, Camperdown, and Schaap Kraal in the Western Cape. In addition, sources within the Tamil community suggest that the Tamil Tigers also sponsor training within South Africa.

Greenbushes training camp has existed, on and off, for more than a dozen years. Trainees who have passed through the camp report that Greenbushes possesses an assault course and a shooting range. The equipment, is apparently removed after training sessions. Amazingly, the camp has been visited by the local police who requested that trainees keep the noise down: apparently, neighbours had complained about the sound of guns being fired. The police found nothing extraordinary about the existence of the camp.

Leaders of the Greenbushes camp have commented privately that members of their organisation are also reservist policemen, and there is therefore little the local law enforcement forces can do.

They also claim to have a productive relationship with the National Intelligence Agency (NIA).

Molotov Cocktail has evidence in its possession suggesting that the NIA, the Scorpions and the CIA have periodically kept the camp under surveillance during the past decade. Despite the obvious need to apply South African law fairly and firmly, it seems likely that both domestic and international intelligence agencies have preferred to permit the camp to continue functioning in order to gather information on the networks of Islamic fundamentalists. It is critical to recognise that the existence of the training camp has not yet progressed to terrorist activity within South Africa.

Nevertheless, sources report that trainees who have passed through Greenbushes later travelled to Pakistan, Afghanistan and Iraq.

An intriguing document ‘Hamas (Islamic Resistance Movement) Al-Mujii Al Islamiyaj’, which claims to be the work of the NIA, is available on the internet. The report is dated 24 September 2001, less than two weeks after 9/11. The document reveals that Sheikh Abu Abdula[h], a representative of Hamas visted South Africa in July 1996 and ‘during a closed meeting ... stated that Hamas has decided to open an office in Port Elizabeth under cover of the Al-Aqsa International Foundation ... Abdula also paid a visit to the paramilitary camp at Greenbushes, where he mentioned that the facility was too basic and needed to be upgraded.’

Ronnie Kasrils recently said that: ‘We clearly need to continue to strengthen the capacity of our intelligence and law enforcement bodies. We need to know our societies well enough to predict threats and act against them.’ In this spirit, Molotov Cocktail attempts to unpack the complicated story and series of personalities surrounding Greenbushes training camp.

The family behind Greenbushes are the Desais of Port Elizabeth. In particular, Moulana Nazier Desai, who is described in the internet NIA report as the ‘Amir of South African Mujahideen’. One source reports that ‘the Desais walk around armed like cowboys’, another comments that although the Desais are wealthy in their own right, they also receive funding from Pakistan, Saudi Arabia and Afghanistan. Local people are said to be scared of the family and powerful figures from Middle Eastern countries are said to have visited the Desais in South Africa. The Desai family are in the process of building an Islamic Centre, Daru-Uloom in Malabar. Eventually the Centre will have the capacity to accommodate 72 young male students.

Two instructors from the Centre have been known to take the students to the training camp on Wednesday and Sunday mornings between 7a.m. and 10.30. Greenbushes training camp is known to the students and the instructors as ‘the Recreation Camp’. But it is far more than just recreation ...

In addition to learning archery and horse-riding – in respect to the favoured pastimes of the prophet Mohammed – the youths at the training camp are also being taught combat skills and how to handle firearms. The weapons being employed are high-calibre handguns, R1 rifles and AK 47s: all of which are illegal in South Africa.

Sources suggest that a former SANDF soldier, Trevor Nel, was at one point responsible for the military training of the youths. One source reports that optical ‘night-sights’ are being used at the camp. But it is also apparent that many members of the rapidly growing Muslim community of Port Elizabeth, and further afield, have at one time or another visited Green-bushes camp.

Nazier Desai explained a few years ago that the purpose of the camp is ‘to get our youngsters ready to fight if there is ever a need to. [The camp would] give the youngsters and grown ups the proper military training.’

There is a makeshift Mosque on the site.

The Desai family of Port Elizabeth is, apparently, at war with itself. A feud is said to exist between Nazier and his brother Salim and their cousins Ahmed Sadeck (also believed to be known as MI Ahmed) and Ebrahim. Although Ahmed Sadeck Desai controls the funds for the camp, Nazier is understood to be in charge of the training. Despite the feud, the funds continue to flow between the cousins in this extended family. In the late 1990s, Ahmed Sadeck Desai was arrested in Bangladesh; he was held for a year before his release. In addition, in the early 1990s one of Nazier’s sons attempted to build a bomb which exploded and disfigured him.

Ahmed Sadeck Desai is described by sources as an ascetic, whereas his cousin Nazier makes regular appearances on local Islamic radio and gives lectures on religious matters.

Reports from sources close to the Desai family reveal that the cousins regularly meet in a room at the back of Ebrahim Desai’s shop, Sufyaans Tiles. Visitors are scanned for recording devices and cellphones upon entering.

This is where the meetings with Pakistani, Afghan and Saudi Arabian visitors have taken place.

It is now common knowledge that al-Qaeda is not a functioning organisation but a shell which franchises its identity to militant Islamic groups around the world.

Are the Desais running the PE branch of al-Qaeda or is there a more simple explanation? It is difficult to be certain but Nazier Desai has clearly been running a training camp of sorts – it is certainly well-established enough to meet the criterion of the Minister of Intelligence. But numerous questions abound: Why has it taken so long so long to complete the Islamic centre in Malabar? Why does the camp appear to shut down for holidays? What is exactly are the Desais connections with extrem-ist groups in Saudi Arabia, Afghanistan and Pakistan? Is there truth in the reports that the Desais are in the process of selling the Greenbushes site? The concept of a paramilitary training camp might appear to be fantastical and, perhaps, there is an aspect of self-delusion in the activities of the Desais. However, that does not mean that the paramilitary training that occurred at Greenbushes is entirely innocent or that militants have not travelled from Greenbushes to the Middle East. It should, however be reiterated that the majority of the people who have attended the camp have returned to normal life in South Africa and do not constitute a series of sleeper cells across the country. However, the security forces have certainly been lax in permitting the existence of the Greenbushes camp. It would only take one person to decide to put the training into practice in a major South African city and the repercussions would be felt all over the world.

The Muslim population of South Africa has prospered since the end of apartheid. It is well-represented in government and it has been successful in business. Despite the obvious sympathy and financial support offered to Muslims suffering in the Middle East and elsewhere, Muslim South Africans would not tolerate Islamic terrorism in this country. Ronnie Kasrils said during his recent speech at the Brenthurst conference on terrorism: ‘While all the evidence suggests that Southern Africa is certainly not a primary target, we remain vigilant, as no country can claim
invulnerability, nor can we rule out an opportunistic act against foreign targets on our soil. So far, the number of suspected operatives and supporters that have been identified are very small, with no infrastructure or established training camps to speak of.’

If only that was completely accurate.

Molotov Cocktail has made numerous attempts to contact Nazier Desai for comment.

Source: Molotov Cocktail: Ed.1 (PDF:14MB)
Note: The aformentioned "alleged intriguing document ‘Hamas (Islamic Resistance Movement) Al-Mujii Al Islamiyaj’, which claims to be the work of the NIA," is available at Cryptome (PDF Copy)

The coming White Refugee Population Wars: a 12-bomb equation..

According to Arthur Kemp, in March of the Titans: A History of the White Race, immigration and emigration issues are an ecological overshoot resource war symptom -- like much of crime, unemployment, terrorism, etc. -- of overpopulation colliding with scarce or depleting resources.

The massive overpopulation taking place in the non-White world will cause increasing waves of non-White immigration into the modern White heartlands of North America, Europe and Australia. This graph shows the disparity between White and non-White population growths, based on United Nations figures. Note the codeword for the White nations ("developed countries"), compared to the non-White world ("total world population").

Furthermore as a result of liberal European Union Immigration Policies:

By 1994, most European Union member states had an average 10 - 15 per cent non-White population, with this figure effectively doubling every fifteen years. This will mean that, unless current immigration trends are halted, all of Western Europe will have a non-White majority population by the year 2090 at the latest, and possibly earlier. These statistics are from the EU's own official records, Eurostat, in Belgium.

In Chapter 67: The Changing Face: Non-White Immigration into the White Heartlands, he writes

NON-WHITE OVERPOPULATION PUSHES IMMIGRATION

The resultant massive overpopulation of the non-White lands of the earth provides the major driver for non-White immigration into the White heartlands of Europe, Australia and North America.

In India, for example, where the population doubles every 30 years, many see no future except emigration to Australia, America or Europe, as over-population pressures at home stretch their already-tenuous infrastructure to breaking point.

The Black African population doubles every 24 years. This is reflected in the ever-increasing number of man-made famines on that continent; and the ever increasing numbers of Black refugees entering Europe, America and Australia.

All of these population shifts are busy altering the population make-ups of the three modern White heartlands - in exactly the same way that has happened to every other White nation in history which has then become swamped and removed from the pages of history.

The coming Population Wars: a 12-bomb equation

Can Gates' Billionaires Club stop these inevitable self-destruct triggers?

By Paul B. Farrell, MarketWatch
Sept. 29, 2009, 12:01 a.m. EDT

ARROYO GRANDE, Calif. (MarketWatch) -- So what's the biggest time-bomb for Obama, America, capitalism, the world? No, not global warming. Not poverty. Not even peak oil. What is the absolute biggest, one like the trigger mechanism on a nuclear bomb, one that'll throw a wrench in global economic growth, ending capitalism, even destroying modern civilization?

The one that -- if not solved soon -- renders all efforts to solve all the other problems in the world, irrelevant, futile and virtually impossible?

News flash: the "Billionaires Club" knows: Bill Gates called billionaire philanthropists to a super-secret meeting in Manhattan last May. Included: Buffett, Rockefeller, Soros, Bloomberg, Turner, Oprah and others meeting at the "home of Sir Paul Nurse, a British Nobel prize biochemist and president of the private Rockefeller University, in Manhattan," reports John Harlow in the London TimesOnline. During an afternoon session each was "given 15 minutes to present their favorite cause. Over dinner they discussed how they might settle on an 'umbrella cause' that could harness their interests."


The world's biggest time-bomb? Overpopulation, say the billionaires.

And yet, global governments with their $50 trillion GDP, aren't even trying to solve the world's overpopulation problem. G-20 leaders ignore it. So by 2050 the Earth's population will explode by almost 50%, from 6.6 billion today to 9.3 billion says the United Nations.

And what about those billionaires and their billions? Can they stop the trend? Sadly no. Only a major crisis, a global catastrophe, a collapse beyond anything prior in world history will do it. Here's why:


Civilizations collapse fast, crises trigger, leaders clueless

"One of the disturbing facts of history is that so many civilizations collapse," warns Jared Diamond, an environmental biologist, Pulitzer prize winner and author of "Collapse: How Societies Choose to Fail or Succeed." Many "civilizations share a sharp curve of decline. Indeed, a society's demise may begin only a decade or two after it reaches its peak population, wealth and power."

Other voices are darker, shrill: "We're past the point of no return." "It's already too late." "The end is near." As with Rome's collapse, it happens fast. Clueless leaders are caught off-guard, like Greenspan, Bernanke and Paulson a couple years ago.

Call it "WWIII: The Population Wars." A few years ago Fortune analyzed a classified Pentagon report predicting that "climate could change radically and fast. That would be the mother of all national security issues" Population unrest would then create "massive droughts, turning farmland into dust bowls and forests to ashes." And "by 2020 there is little doubt that something drastic is happening ... an old pattern could emerge; warfare defining human life." War will be the end-game: For capitalism, civilization, earth?

Diamond's 12-part equation is very simple, fits perfectly with a global warfare scenario: "More people require more food, space, water, energy, and other resources ... There is a long built-in momentum to human population growth called the 'demographic bulge' with a disproportionate number of children and young reproductive-age people." And if the "bulge" stops for any reason, game over. Economic "growth" ends, killing capitalism.

So look closely: Diamond's equation has 12 time-bombs. But note, the first two are the biggest triggers in the formula. The other 10 are derivative variables.


1. Overpopulation Multiplier

According to TimesOnline: A few months before the billionaires meeting Gates noted: "Official [U.N.] projections say the world's population will peak at 9.3 billion [up from 6.6 billion today] but with charitable initiatives, such as better reproductive health care, we think we can cap that at 8.3 billion." Still, that's 23% more than today's 6.6 billion.

Can it be stopped? In a recent special issue of Scientific American, population was called "the most overlooked and essential strategy for achieving long-term balance with the environment." Why? Population's the new "third-rail" for politicians. So they ignore it.

Yet, if all nations consumed resources at the same rate as America, we'd need six Earths to survive. Unfortunately that scenario is unstoppable. Because by 2050, while America's population grows from 300 million to a mere 400 million, the rest of the world will explode from 6.3 billion to 8.9 billion, with over 1.4 billion each in China and India.


2. Population Impact Multiplier

Diamond warns: "There are 'optimists' who argue that the world could support double its human population." But he adds, they "consider only the increase in human numbers and not average increase in per-capita impact. But I have not heard anyone who seriously argues that the world could support 12 times it's current impact." And yet, that's exactly what happens with "all third-world inhabitants adopting first-world standards."

Folks, we oversold the American dream. Now everyone wants it. Not just 300 million Americans, but 6.3 billion people worldwide are demanding more, more, more!

"What really counts," says Diamond, "is not the number of people alone, but their impact on the environment," the "per-capita impact." First-world citizens "consume 32 times more resources such as fossil fuels, and put out 32 times more waste, than do the inhabitants of the Third World." So the race is on: "Low impact people are becoming high-impact people" aspiring "to first-world living standards." The American dream is now the global dream.

Warning: The "Impact Multiplier" will drive the global "WWIII-Population Wars" equation even if there is zero population growth to 2050!

In Diamond's masterpiece, "Collapse," the two key variables are what we call the "Over-Population Multiplier" and "Population Impact Multiplier." Now let's closely examine Diamond's other 10 variables that are driving our "WWIII-Population Wars" equation:


3. Food

Two billion people, mostly poor, depend on fish and other wild foods for protein. They "have collapsed or are in steep decline" forcing use of more costly animal proteins. The U.N. calls the global food crisis a "silent tsunami." Food prices rise making it worse for the 2.7 billion living below poverty levels on two dollars a day.

In "The End of Plenty," National Geographic warns that even a new "green revolution" of "synthetic fertilizers, pesticides, and irrigation, supercharged by genetically engineered seeds" may fail. Why? A joint World Bank/U.N. study "concluded that the immense production increases brought about by science and technology the past 30 years have failed to improve food access for many of the world's poor."

Meanwhile, a Time cover story warns that America's "addiction to meat" has led to farming that's "destructive of the soil, the environment and us."


4. Water

Diamond warns: "Most of the world's fresh water in rivers and lakes is already being used for irrigation, domestic and industrial water," transportation, fisheries and recreation. Water problems destroyed many earlier civilizations: "Today over a million people lack access to reliable safe drinking water." British International Development Minister recently warned that two-thirds of the world will live in water-stressed countries by 2015.

Water will trade like oil futures as wars are fought over water and other basic essentials noted earlier in Fortune's analysis of the Pentagon report predicting that warfare will define human life in this scenario of the near future.


5. Farmland

Crop soils are "being carried away by water and wind erosion at rates between 10 to 40 times the rates of soil formation," much higher in forests where the soil-erosion rate is "between 500 and 10,000 times" replacement rate. And this is increasing in today's new age of the 100,000-acre megafires.


6. Forests

We are destroying natural habitats and rain forests at an accelerating rate. Half the world's original forests have been converted to urban developments. A quarter of what remains will be converted in the next 50 years.


7. Toxic chemicals

Often our solutions create more problems than they solve. For example, industries "manufacture or release into the air, soil, oceans, lakes, and rivers many toxic chemicals" that break down slowly or not at all. Consider the deadly impact of insecticides, pesticides, herbicides, detergents, plastics ... the list is endless.


8. Energy resources: oil, natural gas and coal

Pimco manages $747 billion: equity, bonds and commodity funds. Manager Bill Gross recently described a "significant break" in the world's "growth pattern." He's betting we're past the "peak oil" tipping point. Consumer shopping will continue declining as economies grow very slowly in the future and "corporate profits will be static."

A recent issue of Foreign Policy Journal warns of the "7 Myths About Alternative Energy." Are biofuels, solar and nuclear the "major ticket?" No, they're not, never will be.


9. Solar energy

Sunlight is not unlimited. Diamond: We're already using "half of the Earth's photosynthetic capacity" and we will reach the max by mid-century. In "Plundering the Amazon," Bloomberg Markets magazine warned that Alcoa, Cargill and other companies "have bypassed laws designed to prevent destruction of the world's largest rain forest ... robbing the earth of its best shield against global warming."

Free market capitalism may be the enemy of survival.


10. Ozone layer

"Human activities produce gases that escape into the atmosphere" where they can destroy the protective ozone or absorb and reduce solar energy.


11. Diversity

"A significant fraction of wild species, populations and genetic diversity has been lost, and at present rates, a large percent of the rest will disappear in half century."


12. Alien species

Transferring species to lands where they're not native can have unintended and catastrophic effects, "preying on, parasitizing, infecting or outcompeting" native animals and plants that lack evolutionary resistance.

In spite of the clear message in Diamond's 12 time-bombs, he still says he's a "cautious optimist." What fuels his hope? Our leaders need "the courage to practice long-term thinking, and to make bold, courageous, anticipatory decisions at a time when problems have become perceptible but before they reach crisis proportions."

Unfortunately, history tells us that cautious leaders are myopic, driven more by self-interest and nationalism than courage and long-term thinking. Eventually they're caught off guard and their worlds collapse, fast. They only respond to crises.

And, yes, out of crisis may come opportunity. As Nobel economist Milton Friedman put it in his classic, "Capitalism and Freedom:" "Only a crisis -- actual or perceived -- produces real change" because in the aftermath of crisis "the politically impossible becomes politically inevitable." Too many, however, delay and respond to crises with too little, too late.

Bottom line: The betting odds are 100% that global leaders will wait for a Pentagon-style "black swan" crisis before acting. Unfortunately, that delay positions the "WWIII: The Population Wars" dead ahead.

Sources: Why We Are White Refugees: Market Watch & March of the Titans
See Also: Population Policy Common Sense: Laws of Sustainability (PDF:598K)

George Monbiot: Credibility depleting faster than oil

“... World population growth is widely recognized within the Government as a current danger of the highest magnitude calling for urgent measures...... it is of the utmost urgency that governments now recognize the facts and implications of population growth, determine the ultimate population sizes that make sense for their countries and start vigorous programs at once to achieve their desired goals.”

“... population factors are indeed critical in, and often determinants of, violent conflict in developing areas. Segmental (religious, social, racial) differences, migration, rapid population growth, differential levels of knowledge and skills, rural/urban differences, population pressure and the spatial location of population in relation to resources -- in this rough order of importance -- all appear to be important contributions to conflict and violence... Clearly, conflicts which are regarded in primarily political terms often have demographic roots. Recognition of these relationships appears crucial to any understanding or prevention of such hostilities.”

“...there is general agreement that up to the point when cost per acceptor rises rapidly, family planning expenditures are generally considered the best investment a country can make in its own future.”
~ National Security Study Memorandum 200: Implications of Worldwide Population Growth ~

George Monbiot: Credibility depleting faster than oil

Mail & Guardian, UK

Nov 17 2009 08:04

Declining respect for the instruments of collective government as they are used increasingly by the elites to preserve or increase their share of a declining resource base.Do you observe any of these symptoms in your "real world"? If you do, you should suspect that your society is in advanced stages of overshoot. 18July 2006 :: PeakOil_RSA Briefing Paper

I don't know when global oil supplies will start to decline. I do know that another resource has already peaked and gone into free fall: the credibility of the body that's meant to assess them. Last week two whistleblowers from the International Energy Agency alleged that it has deliberately upgraded its estimate of the world's oil supplies in order not to frighten the markets. Three days later, a paper published by researchers at Uppsala University in Sweden showed that the IEA's forecasts must be wrong, because it assumes a rate of extraction that appears to be impossible. The agency's assessment of the state of global oil supplies is beginning to look as reliable as Alan Greenspan's blandishments about the health of the financial markets.

Is gross mismanagement of the nation's energy policy an impeachable offense? 18 July 06 :: PeakOilRSA :: Briefing Paper

If the whistleblowers are right, we should be stockpiling ammunition. If we are taken by surprise, if we have failed to replace oil before the supply peaks then crashes, the global economy is stuffed. But nothing the whistle-blowers said has scared me as much as the conversation I had last week with a Pembrokeshire farmer.

Wyn Evans, who runs a mixed farm of 170 acres, has been trying to reduce his dependency on fossil fuels since 1977. He has installed an anaerobic digester, a wind turbine, solar panels and a ground-sourced heat pump. He has sought wherever possible to replace diesel with his own electricity. Instead of using his tractor to spread slurry, he pumps it from the digester on to nearby fields. He's replaced his tractor-driven irrigation system with an electric one, and set up a new system for drying hay indoors, which means he has to turn it in the field only once. Whatever else he does is likely to produce smaller savings. But these innovations have reduced his use of diesel by only about 25%.

Today, 6.5 billion humans depend entirely on oil for food, energy, plastics & chemicals. Population growth is on a collision course with the inevitable decline in oil production. Oil Factor: Behind the War on Terror

According to farm scientists at Cornell University, cultivating one hectare of maize in the United States requires 40 litres of petrol and 75 litres of diesel. The amazing productivity of modern farm labour has been purchased at the cost of a dependency on oil. Unless farmers can change the way it's grown, a permanent oil shock would price food out of the mouths of many of the world's people. Any responsible government would be asking urgent questions about how long we have got.

Instead, most of them delegate this job to the International Energy Agency. I've been bellyaching about the British government's refusal to make contingency plans for the possibility that oil might peak by 2020 for the past two years, and I'm beginning to feel like a madman with a sandwich board. Perhaps I am, but how lucky do you feel? The new World Energy Outlook published by the IEA last week expects the global demand for oil to rise from 85-million barrels a day in 2008 to 105-million in 2030. Oil production will rise to 103-million barrels, it says, and biofuels will make up the shortfall. If we want the oil, it will materialise.

Today, 6.5 billion humans depend entirely on oil for food, energy, plastics & chemicals. Population growth is on a collision course with the inevitable decline in oil production. Oil, Smoke & Mirrors

The agency does caution that conventional oil is likely to "approach a plateau" towards the end of this period, but there's no hint of the graver warning that the IEA's chief economist issued when I interviewed him last year: "We still expect that it will come around 2020 to a plateau ... I think time is not on our side here." Almost every year the agency has been forced to downgrade its forecast for the daily supply of oil in 2030: from 123-million barrels in 2004, to 120-million in 2005, 116-million in 2007, 106-million in 2008 and 103-million this year. But according to one of the whistleblowers, "even today's number is much higher than can be justified, and the International Energy Agency knows this".

The Uppsala report, published in the journal Energy Policy, anticipates that maximum global production of all kinds of oil in 2030 will be 76-million barrels per day. Analysing the IEA's figures, it finds that to meet its forecasts for supply, the world's new and undiscovered oilfields would have to be developed at a rate "never before seen in history". As many of them are in politically or physically difficult places, and as capital is short, this looks impossible. Assessing existing fields, the likely rate of discovery and the use of new techniques for extraction, the researchers find that "the peak of world oil production is probably occurring now".

Today, 6.5 billion humans depend entirely on oil for food, energy, plastics & chemicals. Population growth is on a collision course with the inevitable decline in oil production. Crude Awakening: Oil Crash

Are they right? Who knows? Last month the UK Energy Research Centre published a massive review of all the available evidence on global oil supplies. It found that the date of peak oil will be determined not by the total size of the global resource but by the rate at which it can be exploited. New discoveries would have to be implausibly large to make a significant difference: even if a field the size of all the oil reserves ever struck in the US were miraculously discovered, it would delay the date of peaking by only four years. As global discoveries peaked in the 1960s, a find like this doesn't seem very likely.

Regional oil supplies have peaked when about one third of the total resource has been extracted: this is because the rate of production falls as the remaining oil becomes harder to shift when the fields are depleted. So the assumption in the IEA's new report, that oil production will hold steady when the global resource has fallen "to around one half by 2030" looks unsafe. The UK Energy Research Centre's review finds that, just to keep oil supply at present levels, "more than two thirds of current crude oil production capacity may need to be replaced by 2030 ... At best, this is likely to prove extremely challenging." There is, it says "a significant risk of a peak in conventional oil production before 2020". Unconventional oil won't save us: even a crash programme to develop the Canadian tar sands could deliver only five million barrels a day by 2030.

The Pharaohs of ancient Egypt were amongst the first people to recognise the importance of the Soldiers of the Soil. In fact Cleopatra declared the earthworm sacred, and anyone trying to take them out of the country was subjected to the death penalty. Tests carried out in the Nile valley by the US Department of Agriculture in 1949 proved that the great fertility of the soil there was due largely to the work of earthworms. ~ SQ Worm Sosiety

As a report commissioned by the US Department of Energy shows, an emergency programme to replace current energy supplies or equipment to anticipate peak oil would need about 20 years to take effect. It seems unlikely that we have it. The world economy is probably knackered, whatever we might do now. But at least we could save farming. There are two possible options: either the mass replacement of farm machinery or the development of new farming systems that don't need much labour or energy.

There are no obvious barriers to the mass production of electric tractors and combine harvesters: the weight of the batteries and an electric vehicle's low-end torque are both advantages for tractors. A switch to forest gardening and other forms of permaculture is trickier, especially for producing grain; but such is the scale of the creeping emergency that we can't afford to rule anything out.

The challenge of feeding seven or eight billion people while oil supplies are falling is stupefying. It'll be even greater if governments keep pretending that it isn't going to happen. - guardian.co.uk © Guardian News and Media 2009

Source: Mail & Guardian, UK

WwAwR Petition to Federal Court Justices, Canada:

UN High Commissioner for Refugees Antonio Guterres
United Nations High Commissioner for Refugees
Case Postale 2500, CH-1211 Geneve 2 Depot, Suisse.
Tel: 41 22 739 8111 [www.unhcr.org]

For UNHCR's submittal, to: Mr. Jason Kenney
Minister of Citizenship & Immigration
c/o John H. Simms, H.Q. (Per: Bernard Assan/Asha Garfar)
Deputy Attorney General of Canada
Ontario Regional Office, The Exchange Tower
130 King St. West, Suite 3400
Toronto, Ontario, M5X 1K6
Tel: (416) 973-0965 | Fax: (416) 954 8982

Submitted in Support of: Mr. William Davis
Immigration & Refugee Board
Refugee Protection Division
200 Rene-Levesque Boulevard West
Guy Favreau Complex, East Tower, Rm. 102
Montreal, Quebec, H2Z 1X4
Tel: (514) 283 7733 | Fax: (514) 283 0164

Submitted on Behalf of: Mr. Brandon Huntley
c/o Russel Kaplan, Barrister & Solicitor
838 Somerset West Street West, Suite 30
Ottawa, Ontario, K1R 6R7
Tel: (613) 233 7900 | Fax: (613) 233 0800

Honourable Sirs,

RE: Minister of Citizenship & Immigration's Application for Leave and Judicial Review, of Brandon Carl Huntley's 'White Refugee' Status.

We the Undersigned, herewith Petition:

[A] The UN High Commissioner for Refugees Antonio Guterres, to co-ordinate this White Refugee signatories petition, by submitting it on behalf of the Petitioners, to Minister of Citizenship & Immigration: Mr. Jason Kenney; and/or his Counsel: Deputy Attorney General of Canada: John H. Sims, HQ.

[B] If Leave to Judicial Review, is granted, by the Federal Court of Canada; Petitioners herewith request that Minister of Citizenship & Immigration for Canada, and/or his Counsel: Deputy Attorney General of Canada, to submit this Why We Are White Refugees Petition, as an enclosure to their Application for Review, to the Federal Court of Canada, for their due process consideration;

[C] the Federal Court of Canada, to Please Take Notice that:

[1] We support the 27 August 2009 ruling of Board Member William Davis of the Refugee Protection Division of the Immigration and Refugee Board the ("RPD"), in file number MA8-04910, wherein the RPD found Brandon Carl Huntley to be a Convention Refugee, as a result of:

[1.1] South Africa's serious human rights problems, including police use of excessive force against suspects and detainees, which resulted in death and injuries, vigilante violence and mob justice: violence resulting from social, racial and ethnic tensions;

[1.2] Affirmative Action (AA) and Black Economic Empowerment (BEE) law requires employers with 50 or more employees to ensure that previously disadvantaged groups, collectively constituting more than 90 percent of the country's population are represented adequately at all levels of the workplace;

[1.3] Affirmative Action that has stripped the country of 75 percent of its skilled population and is responsible for the deprivation of the constitutional and social rights of white South Africans;

[1.4] As reported by the SAIRR, over a fifth of white South Africans have emigrated over the past ten years, their main reasons being crime and affirmative action;

[1.5] White Poverty is growing, as a result of AA & BEE legislation which reserves 80 percent of new jobs for blacks and favour black-owned companies for tenders;

[1.6] Killings and other violent crimes against farmers and their families continue in rural areas; and farmers are concerned that they are being targeted for racial and political reasons;

[1.7] Farm Murders: There are 40,000 white farmers in South Africa. Since 1994, over 2,000 farmers have been murdered in thousands of farm attacks, many brutally tortured and slashed or raped. Some victims have been burnt with irons and had boiling water poured over them, or down their throats.

[1.8] The Mandela "rainbow" revolution has become a cloud of gloom; where 40 percent of South Africans live below the poverty line, and unemployment is between 23 - 40 percent; violence runs unchecked throughout the country,and a woman is raped approximately every 26 seconds, where less than 1 percent of rape convictions lead to a conviction. Murderers also run free, without about 19,000 murders in 2006, more than 50 per day;

[1.9] A report documenting that most of ANC members are racist: this report states that it is time for the ANC to face up to the fact that most of them are racist and marginalized non-supporters and that it is the policy of the ANC and its endemic corruption that has brought South Africa to the brink of civil war;

[1.10] Police Corruption: Police Corruption is endemic and the chances of reporting corruption, ever seeing daylight are slim indeed.

[1.11] Brandon Huntley was attacked personally, because of his white skin

[1.12] DA Leader, Mr. Tony Leon's accuses the ANC goverment of indifference to the lot of minorities, and hostility to whites;

[1.13] All of the above and more, shows a picture of indifference and inability or unwillingness of the goverment and the security forces to protect White South Africans from persectuion by African South Africans.

[1.14] The objective evidence of living as a white person in South Africa, is that crime and violence resulting from social, racial and ethnic tensions contribute to a socio-political culture with a very significant possibility for white South Africans to be repeat and persistent, and systemic victims of excessive violence during any criminal acts, perpetrated against them by African South Africans; as a result of a socio-political cultural climate where the State is deliberately and intentionally unwilling to protect white South Africans; because they are white South Africans.

[2] We are further informed that the Minister of Citizenship & Immigration, has launched an Application for Leave to Judicial Review, of IRB: Mr. William Davis, aforementioned decision on 27 August 2009

[3] Furthermore that such application for Review, is allegedly based upon the implication that aforementioned ruling made by IRB: Mr. William Davis was in error, not based upon facts, or without regard to the material before him, etc.

[4] We herewith take the opportunity to inform the Minister of Citizenship and Immigration, of the following additional information, in support of IRB: Mr. Davis, aforementioned 27 August 2009 decision, in the matter of Brandon Carl Huntley, should the ANC Goverment have failed to provide Minister Kenney, with an impartial assessment of reality in South Africa for white South Africans:

[4.1] According to Congress of the People (COPE): Brandon Huntley's disillusionment with the State's refusal to protect him from crime, is symptomatic across all colourlines; and attacks against whites are a direct intended consequence of ANC policies, and their cynical campaign to exploit fears based on race; and thier intentional, populist and extremist attempts to whip the masses up into a frenzy of anti-white sentiment; with 'Wit-Gevaar' (White Danger) being one of the watchwords of post Polokwane "divide and conquer" blameshifting tactics.

[4.2] According to Inkatha Freedom Party (IFP): In South Africa a major way of problem solving is mob rule, where protestors confuse protesting with vigilante criminality; which implies a breakdown of the rule of law; and the militarization of politics. South Africa's violence is a direct result of, the ANC and UDF's 'struggle' strategies of ungovernability, that was used to incite the youth and people of the townships to violence, which included mob justice in the form of necklacing, shooting and other violent acts against those deemed to be the enemy. The ANC, has not honestly confronted, how current levels of violent crime, are a result of the ANC's decision to take up arms against apartheid, and forsake peaceful nonviolent civil disobedience protests. To this day, the ruling party continue to glorify the struggle violence; as justified and admirable; by honouring former Umkomte we Zizwe terrorists, who blew up white civilians, including babies; and statements such as those oft repeated by Peter Mokaba, of "Kill the farmer, Kill the Boer".

[4.3] Transvaal Agricultural Union reported, that: the sheer savagery of the extremely brutal attacks on farmers include: an elderly farmer whose head was opened by an axe, a lady of 84 who was repeatedly raped, a year old baby set alight; farmers strangled, garotted, mutilated, dumped into boiling water, suffocated, slashed with pangas, repeatedly stabbed, tortured with hot irons, etc. That in farm attacks, extreme violence is widespread, and if women are present they are generally raped; torture is now fairly routine and cruelty to animals pervasive. Racial slogans, sometimes in the blood of the farmers, on walls, is extremely commonplace.

[4.4] In another TAU report: on Police Corruption, Crime Statitics manipulation, and conviction rates; TAU report that:

[4.4.1] For every 1000 crimes reported in South Africa, only 430 criminals are arrested. Of these, only 77 are convicted and barely 8 of these are sentenced to two or more years of imprisonment. It is also calculated that South African convicts have a 94% recidivism rate (that is, 94% of all persons released after serving a sentence immediately become involved in crime again).

[4.4.2] A 22-page United Christian Action draft report, Murder in South Africa, by Robert McCafferty, based on original source documents, government archives, the Central Statistics Service, Interpol, the South African Medical Research Council statistics, and many other sources reveals confusion amongst the crime data quoted by the various government departments.

[4.4.3] Victims surveys have consistently uncovered between 60% and 70% more crime than reported by official sources. Upwards of 50% of crime in many serious categories goes unreported. For example: While police crime statistics show that there were 21 683 murders in the year 2000, the Medical Research Council puts the figure at 32 482. The Department of Home Affairs quotes 30 068. This is a third more murders than reported by the SAPS, a discrepancy of more than 10 000 murders. How can various departments of the same government fail to agree on how many people were murdered in South Africa?

[4.4.4] According to Interpol, South Africa has the highest recorded per capita murder rate of the countries covered in their report for 1998, with Columbia second. In that year, Interpol recorded the per capita murder rate in the USA as 6 per 100 000, while in South Africa it was 59 per 100 000.

[4.4.5] A report from the World Economic Forum claimed that South Africa's organised crime was second only to Columbia's, with its frightening drug cartels and Russia, with its omnipresent mafia. Their report claimed widespread corruption in the South African Police Service, where one in four police officers in the greater Johannesburg were under criminal investigation at the time of the report.

[4.4.6] Police estimate that there are currently "about 700 extremely well financed and superbly armed crime syndicates operating in and from South Africa". However, it was also reported that "not a single ring leader of any of the 700 crime syndicates operating in South Africa has been arrested."

[4.4.7] The Nedcore Project has concluded that: "South Africa and Southern Africa are probably the most murderous societies on earth, even with the probable under reporting."

[4.4.8] The Nedcore Project claims the results of their surveys "underscore the fact that crime has become South Africa's pre-eminent sociological problem. It now eclipses even unemployment in concerns of all South Africans."

[4.4.9] The bizarre behaviour of the ANC government in, at one stage, imposing a moratorium on crime statistics is also questioned. The report shows that in the first seven years of ANC rule, violence and crime in South Africa increased by 33%, officiallly.

[4.4.10] The UCA Report on Murder in South Africa reveals that according to the official statistics, in the 44 years from 1950 to 1993, there was an average of 7036 murders per year. This covered the turbulent strife of the apartheid years of warfare, conflict, terrorism, riots and repression.

[4.4.11] By way of comparison, in the first eight years (of peace) of the new democratic dispensation, under the ANC, an average of 24 206 murders were committed each year.

[4.4.12] Sharp discrepancies between official statistics and those of Interpol and the Medical Research Council are considered. One observer is quoted as saying that the "easiest way for the police to reduce the crime rate is simply to do nothing but record only those crimes where a case number is absolutely mandatory". Numerous experts are quoted as suspecting "serious under reporting"; "perhaps these figures are concealed for political reasons"; "the reason for this under reporting could be the desire to change the ongoing reputation of South Africa as the crime capital of the world."

[4.4.13] However, the Crime Information Analyst Centre (CIAC) of the South African Police Services is quoted as offering some socio-economic explanations for the horrific crime rate in South Africa: "Urbanisation of the youth extremely conducive to crime the role of rapid, abnormally high rates of urbanisation (and urban unemployment) when influx control was removed in 1986, it released a massive urbanisation process a massive influx of especially young work seekers (economic refugees) to our cities from especially neighbouring countries, but also from as far afield as Nigeria, Morocco, Europe and China at least 6 million undocumented immigrants live in especially our cities massive unemployment, with no extended family (social support network) and subsistence economy to support their basic needs.

[4.4.14] During the years of political struggle many members of the former security forces and liberation armies were trained in guerrilla warfare skills, like intelligence gathering, ambush techniques, the handling of firearms and explosives, etc. Many of these combatants are now out of work and many of these skills can be used to commit hijackings, house and armed robberies, bank robberies, and robberies of cash in transit.

[4.5] Two Reports by the Helen Suzman Foundation, and Historian, Robert Johnson (South Africa's Brave New World: The Beloved Country since the End of Apartheid), report that in October 1999, Sifiso Nkabinde, former ANC boss of the Kwazulu Natal Midlands, began to provide information to the press how he and his associate Bruce Mhlongo, in company with various ANC leaders, had carried out a number of major bank robberies, and cash-in-transit heists. He was murdered two weeks later.

[4.6] A recent news report, by Daily Mail, UK: The Secret Race War in South Africa, that threatens to overshadow the World Cup, documents that:

[4.6.1] There are no official figures but, since the election of Nelson Mandela in 1994, farmers' organisations say 3,000 whites in rural areas have been killed. The independent South African Human Rights Commission, set up by Mandela's government, says the number is 2,500.

[4.6.2] The commission's report into the killings does not break down their figures by colour; but it says the majority of attacks in general - ie where no one necessarily dies - are against white people and that 'there was a considerably higher risk of a white victim of farm attacks being killed or injured than a black victim.'

[4.6.3] It states that since 2006, farmer murders have jumped by 25 per cent and adds: 'The lack of prosecutions indicates the criminal justice system is not operating effectively to protect victims in farming communities and to ensure the rule of law is upheld.'

[4.6.4] What is certain is this: since the mid-Nineties, 900,000 mainly white South Africans have emigrated from South Africa - about 20 per cent of the white population - most of them due to soaring crime rates. In an eerie parallel with Zimbabwe, farms have been reclaimed by unqualified workers. The police say don't fight back. You must fight. It's the bullet or be slaughtered.

[4.6.5] The ANC government's response to this has been largely defiant. As Charles Ngacula, Safety and Security Minister under the previous administration of Thabo Mbeki, said: 'They can continue to whinge until they're blue in the face, be as negative as they want to, or they can simply leave this country.'

[4.6.6] Driving around Mpumalanga Province, east of Johannesburg, in what used to be the Transvaal, I found myself called by the farmers to a string of grisly murder scenes. In some the blood was still drying on the furniture or the street. In others, witnesses gave me accounts of killings involving rituals of extreme brutality: of victims boiled alive, forced to kneel and shot execution style and tortured in ways so unimaginable they are too horrendous to print. The same goes for the many pictures I have been shown of the barely identifiable corpses and horrific crime scenes.

[4.6.7] This after all is the country where the President, Jacob Zuma, used as his election campaign song an old war chant from his days in the ANC's military wing, Mshini wami - 'Bring me my machine-gun'. And where YouTube posts include footage of Mandela singing another song, 'Kill the Boer, Kill the Farmer'. Mugabe may be a pariah across the world but in South Africa he has long been given standing ovations and rapturous applause at ANC events.

[4.6.8] For all South Africa's aims to be following the rule of law, there are comparisons here with Zimbabwe and other calamitous reforms under the banner of 'Africa for the Africans'.

[4.6.9] Cops tracking cases lack experience. Dockets vanish and criminals get out.

[4.6.10] 'The aim is to scare white people. The attacks are not just crimes. They're political. You don't wait for a farmer for eight hours, kill him and steal a frozen chicken. In warfare you learn to soften the target, and the aim is to break us mentally and spiritually.'

[4.6.11] What the farmers dub 'hit squads' are well armed with AK-47s, deploy in gangs and if they are ever arrested they are allegedly found to be from outside the district - 'recruited', the farmers say, from cities hundreds of kilometres away.

[4.7] News reports that document: Black Man says it is not a crime to rob whites; Black Man Shouts to White Victim, "We are going to kill all you Whites"; 'Blacks tell elderly white couple, 'We will kill all you white Dogs"

[4.8] In a letter to from the Boerevolk Organisation, to the Canadian Ambassador, they document, the genocide of white farmers, with a list of names of murder victims, including the ANC's 'training camps'.

[4.9] Adriana Stuijt, the retired Sunday Times Journalist, who fled South Africa as a result of targetted violence, because they were white, has relentlessly documented on her Uncensored News Blog: Afrikaner Genocide Archives, that the crime experienced by whites in South Africa is no ordinary crime wave, but a form of genocide, as stated by the the world's top expert on the subject of Genocide, Dr Gregory Stanton -- a former US state department legal expert who set up "Genocide Watch"

Dr. Stanton, on the eight stages of genocide

[4.10] Kill the Boer, Kill the Farmer, Murders: Racially motivated or 'just crime'?: It is well known that the ANC-electorate's most popular chant still remains "Kill the Boer, kill the Farmer". A few examples:

[4.10.1] This was the slogan which on April 1, 2009 was daubed in the victims' blood on the walls of a Free State homestead -- in a horrendous incident which was barely reported in the English-language news media because of the clearly racist nature of this crime. The news media merely reported it as a 'robbery', but nothing of any value was robbed when two Afrikaans women, Alice Lotter, 77, and her daughter Helen, 57, both in frail condition, were attacked by a group of young black males and tortured to death at their farm in Allenridge near Welkom. The police examining the crime-scene needed trauma-treatment afterwards. According to forensic evidence, the Lottering mother and daughter had died excruciatingly painful deaths: first they were tortured by being stabbed with broken glass bottles into their vaginas and stabbed all over their bodies. One of the women also had her breasts cut off while she was still alive - (the so-called 'harvesting for traditional medicine") and then both of these women's blood, police forensics found, had been used to paint the ANC's anti-Afrikaner hate slogan "Kill the Boer Kill the Farmer" on the walls of their homestead. They were then allowed to die slowly, by strangulation: i.e. they were hanged by their necks after their excruciating torture.

[4.10.2] In the same month two Afrikaans farmers were murdered, whose sexual organs were "harvested for traditional medicine" while they were still alive.

South African journalist Susan Puren's Boer Genocide documentary,
“A Bloody Harvest”, was aired on Carte-Blanche (M-Net)

[4.11] According to Justice Malala, a journalist working for the Times:

[4.11.1] Corruption in the public service is so rife, so endemic, so all-pervasive, that ordinary South Africans regard it as the normal way of doing things. In the municipalities, virtually no tender is awarded without some politician's or official's relative, friend or business associate being in on the game. If they are not, a bribe is paid.

[4.11.2] In queues for government services, even when dealing with the police, bribes change hands as a matter of course.

[4.11.3] The first problem here is that the ANC believe that they are entitled to enrich themselves, at the public purse. This is the culture.

[4.11.4] That culture starts at the top and permeates the whole system. Morality, values, have all disappeared.

[4.11.5] South Africa is headed for the failed state status of Nigeria, and Zimbawe, if the culture of briberty, lack of service delivery and impunity of public officials continues; unless something is done -- soon.

[4.12] In a report, The South African Police Service: An Organisation on the Brink of Collapse, by Ivan Myers, an SAPS specialist; that documents the collapse of the SAPS, causes and consequences; he states among others:

[4.12.1] Many communities are not very cooperative with the police because they perceive the police as a joke, when they see the polices inablity to exercise literacy skills, and the police's general reluctance to respond to complaints.

[4.12.2] It is interesting to note that Ask Afrika's Orange Index gave the SA Police Service a 0% rating whilst private security companies achieved a 60.71% rating. What is even more disturbing is that Chicken Licken outlets achieved a service rating of 53.57% which, if it was feasible would make it appropriate to report crime at your nearest Chicken Licken outlet.

[4.12.3] Most cases are shoddily investigated from the outset and suspects are released due to lack of evidence associated with the poor investigation techniques of the police. The courts continually criticize the Service for the manner in which they conduct their investigations, yet nothing is done. The reason is quite simple; the Service has lost the capacity to do anything about it as all the skilled detectives have left the Service or have been placed out of their fields of expertise leaving the blind to lead the blind.

[4.12.4] Crime Statistics, especially in the Western Cape are the be-all and end-all of policing. Statistics are easily manipulated on the computer system. Where a station has a high rate of Robberies for example then the charges are altered to theft off person. Attempted rape is recorded as indecent assault etc. In many instances ... the public are turned away from reporting serious crimes thereby no record of the crime is on the system and a reduction is shown.

[4.12.5] Corruption and Morale: Corruption in South Africa and in particular the SAPS has become a cultural norm that is prevalent across the African continent. Endeavours to curb corruption or report malpractices by conscientious members of the Service are met with scorn and claims of racism at best. When malpractices are reported the individual making the report can expect a future of misery and endless departmental charges and eventual dismissal.

[4.13] South African Citizens Views on Affirmative Action, and Black Economic Empowerment Laws: A report released by the Helen Suzman Foundation, Who Needs Affirmative Action?, Focus Survey, 19 Sept. 2000, provides evidence of three surveys done, which document that the majority (over 60% of South Africans of all colours, support merit, over AA or BEE):

[4.13.1] A 1994 Post Election Survey on Affirmative Action revealed that 61% of all voters, including 52% of Africans wanted to see appointments made strictly on merit, "even if some people do not make progress as a result".

[4.13.2] A 1996 Survey on Affirmative Action found that only 23% of voters took a hardline position in favour of affirmative action, whereas 54% were clearly opposed believing either that "There should be special training of African/blacks but the best applicants for jobs should be appointed whoever they are," or that "There should be no such policies and jobs must go strictly on merit." A middle group of 22% believed that "preference should be given to African/blacks, but if others are better qualified, they should get the job." Thus 76% regarded merit, not race, as the overriding criterion.

[4.13.3] A June/July 2000 Affirmative Action Survey, found that 22% took a hardline position in favour of affirmative action, while 56% took a hardline position against it, with a middle group declining to 19%.

[4.14] Who are the ANC's Paymasters?

[4.14.1] During the 2002 Elections, it was common knowledge that Al'Qaeda had made significant funding contributions to the ANC.

[4.14.2] During the recent elections, a report in the Mail and Guardian, ANC's Dodgy Funders, states, that the election effort was heavily subsidised by the ruling parties in Libya, Angola, China and India.

[4.14.3] The ANC also received funds from oil-rich Equatorial Guinea, one of Africa's most notorious dictatorships.

[4.14.4] The Libyan dictator Moammar Gadaffi, has long been a major funder of the ANC's election campaigns. For example, when former president Nelson Mandela visited Gadaffi in 1994 he returned with $40-million in briefcases to fund the ANC's election effort.

[5] Is the South African Government committed to the Social Contract, with White South Africans?

[5.1] The South African Goverments Response to South Africans who complain about Crime in South Africa: In parliament, Safety and Security Minister, Charles Nqakula, informed "you whites", that complain about crime to 'get out of the country if you don't like the crime.'

Respectfully Submitted,


[SIGN THE PETITION]

[Sponsored by the Why We Are White Refugees bloggers coalition]


Notice of: Why We Are White Refugees Petition to Federal Court Judges, Canada...
TO:

UN High Commissioner for Refugees Antonio Guterres;
Mr. Jason Kenney, Minister of Citizenship & Immigration;
John H. Sims, Q.C., Deputy Attorney General of Canada;
Mr. William Davis, Immigration & Refugee Board;
Mr. Brandon Huntley

From: Why We Are White Refugees Admin
Sent: 13 September 2009 03:38
To: 'charles.hawkins@irb-cisr.gc.ca'; 'Minister@cic.gc.ca'; 'webadmin@justice.gc.ca'; 'kennej@parl.gc.ca'; 'Russel Kaplan'
Cc: 'pret@international.gc.ca'; 'rsafrica@southafrica-canada.ca'; 'Deepak Joprai (deepak@deepakobhrai.com)';......
Subject: Why We Are White Refugees Petition to Federal Court Judges, Canada...

TO: UN High Commissioner for Refugees Antonio Guterres [Response: Your message has been successfully sent @03:31 hrs on 13 Sept 2009.]
AND TO: Mr. Jason Kenney, Minister of Citizenship & Immigration
AND TO: John H. Sims, Q.C., Deputy Attorney General of Canada
AND TO: Mr. William Davis, Immigration & Refugee Board
AND TO: Mr. Brandon Huntley

CC: High Commissioner Ruth Archibald
CC: High Comm. Mr. Abraham Sokhaya Nkomo,
CC: Min. Foreign Affairs, Assist: Deepak Obhrai

For Your Info: (Excerpt)

We the Undersigned, herewith Petition:

[A] The UN High Commissioner for Refugees Antonio Guterres, to co-ordinate this White Refugee signatories petition, by submitting it on behalf of the Petitioners, to Minister of Citizenship & Immigration: Mr. Jason Kenney; and/or his Counsel: Deputy Attorney General of Canada: John H. Sims, HQ.

[B] If Leave to Judicial Review, is granted, by the Federal Court of Canada; Petitioners herewith request that Minister of Citizenship & Immigration for Canada, and/or his Counsel: Deputy Attorney General of Canada, submit this Why We Are White Refugees Petition, as an enclosure to their Application for Review, to the Federal Court of Canada, for their due process consideration;

[C] the Federal Court of Canada, to Please Take Notice that:

[1] We support the 27 August 2009 ruling of Board Member William Davis of the Refugee Protection Division of the Immigration and Refugee Board the ("RPD"), in file number MA8-04910, wherein the RPD found Brandon Carl Huntley to be a Convention Refugee, …………..

Read (And Sign) at: http://www.thepetitionsite.com/1/minister-of-citizenship-immigration-canada

Copy (including video of the South African Goverments Response to South Africans who complain about Crime in South Africa: In parliament, Safety and Security Minister, Charles Nqakula, informed "you whites", that complain about crime to “get out of the country, if you don’t like the crime”); at: http://why-we-are-white-refugees.blogspot.com/2009/09/wwawr-petition-to-federal-court.html

Thank you

Why We Are White Refugees
Why We Support Huntley's White Refugee Status...
http://why-we-are-white-refugees.blogspot.com/

From: Immigration & Refugee Board (IRB): Mr. Charles Hawkins [charles.hawkins@irb-cisr.gc.ca]
Sent: Sun 2009/09/13 16:12
Subject: Read: Why We Are White Refugees Petition to Federal Court Judges, Canada...

Your message was read on Sunday, September 13, 2009 10:12:17 AM (GMT-05:00) Eastern Time (US & Canada).

From: Canadian High Commision in Pretoria: [pret@international.gc.ca]
Sent: Sun 2009/09/13 03:39
Subject: Read: Why We Are White Refugees Petition to Federal Court Judges, Canada...

Your message was read on Sun, 13 Sep 2009 03:38:31 +0200

From: Minister of Citizenship, Immigration and Multiculturalism [Minister@cic.gc.ca]
Sent: Mon 2009/09/14 13:02
Subject: Read: Why We Are White Refugees Petition to Federal Court Judges, Canada...

Your message was read on Mon, 14 Sep 2009 07:01:31 -0400

From: Mail Delivery System [MAILER-DAEMON@rrba-ip-smtp-2-4.saix.net]
Sent: Sun 2009/09/13 03:39
Subject: Successful Mail Delivery Report [to: Deputy Attorney General of Canada; Subject: Why We Are White Refugees Petition to Federal Court Judges, Canada...]

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From: UN High Commissioner for Refugees Antonio Guterres

Your message has been successfully sent @03:31 hrs on 13 Sept 2009.

Why Are Whites Fleeing From South Africa?

To advocate for human rights, peace, and social justice while ignoring their necessary ecological basis --— a stable human population – at, or slightly less than – the eco-systems long term carrying capacity --- is intellectual dishonesty and hypocrisy.

Put differently: crime, unemployment, poverty, racism, food shortages, inflation, local, national and international resource wars, species extinction, energy and resource depletion, etc – these are not the problem; they are only the symptoms. The singular root problem that causes all these braintumour symptoms, is overpopulation, colliding with scarce or finite resources. The logical Human Rights, Peace and Social Justice solution that will significantly reduce these braintumour symptoms, being to simply reduce the population of humans on the planet, locally, regionally, nationally and internationally, to an ecologically socio-economic sustainable number, via voluntary humanitarian methods. Your TRC-RSA Truth (sic), Transparency (sic) and Reconciliation (sic) ‘leadership’ (sic) conduct has avoided – like the plague – any efforts towards raising awareness, public discussion, truth telling, and transparent public discusion of addressing the fundamental ecological requirements that enable sustainable Human Rights, Peace and Social Justice in communities, nations or internationally.
~ Letter to Nobel Institute: Norwegian Nobel Committee: Notice of Legal and Political Request to: (I) Withdraw Nobel Peace Prize’s from Nelson Mandela, F.W. de Klerk, and Archbishop Desmond Tutu; (II) Accept Nobel Peace Prize Nominations for Dr. Albert Bartlett; Dr. Garret James Harden, and Dr. M. King Hubbert ~

Why Are Whites Fleeing From South Africa?

Why We Are White Refugees

by Lledlac

Earlier this year News Week, in an article entitled Fleeing From South Africa, posed the question:

Fourteen years after apartheid, why are the best and the brightest leaving Africa’s most successful state?

Why indeed?

Of those leaving:

“The most dramatic figures can be found among South African whites, who are leaving at a pace consistent with the advent of “widespread disease, mass natural disasters or large-scale civil conflict,” according to a report by the South African Institute on Race Relations. Some 800,000 out of a total white population of 4 million have left since 1995, by one count…

Why is that?

In a nutshell, I’d say, fear of black on white racism. Plain and simple. Of course crack open the nut shell and that phrase big-bangs into a universe of complexities, but we won’t go there this time.

Africa’s dismal post-colonial story evokes in many whites a deep distrust of black majority rule.

Zimbabwe’s early progress along the path of democracy could have dispelled all that once and for all, going from strength to strength, the Zim dollar at one time an internationally strong currency, stronger, even, than the South African rand.

But then came the crash, the world saw the treatment meted out to white farmers, and it was back to square one.

In the wake of the furore around Huntley’s successful bid for refugee status in Canada, I republished an article by Simon Barber. In it he shrugs off Huntley’s claim of racial oppression in South Africa.

If only it were that simple.

Truth is, crime in this country wears a black face. It’s only natural therefore that many white people feel that oppression by crime is oppression by black people. I know it is so for I have heard white South Africans say things more or less along the lines of: “… those murdering, thieving blacks won’t stop until we’re all either dead or penniless.”

I don’t share such sentiments (read my previous posts and see for yourself) but they are an expression of the way many white South Africans feel.

During everyday interaction black and white South Africans get along fine, a picture of interracial harmony, but at other times the picture changes radically.

Let’s revisit a recent event:

We’re at OR Tambo International Airport. There’s a sizable crowd gathered to greet Caster Semenya, the athlete currently under a cloud of gender confusion. Julius Malema’s voice over the public address system booms, “Where are the white South Africans to welcome Caster? Where are they? If it was rugby they were going to be here.”

The crowd’s roars its approval, and there it is, the racist overtones.

Everybody knows that Robert Mugabe gets a standing ovation every time he comes to South Africa. He is popular with black South Africans because in Zimbabwe he stole the farms from whites. It doesn’t matter that Mugabe destroyed Zimbabwe in the process; he stuck it to the white man and that is all that counts.

I can’t find a link to the original report, but many will recall that black guy who addressed a gathering of young blacks and exhorted them to “steal from whites because it’s the right thing to do.” It was widely reported in the media.

Did he have to account for his call to fellow blacks to commit crime against whites? Not that I’m aware of.

Huntley may be sent back to South Africa, but the steady stream of whites out of the country will continue unabated.

And there’s another development. The black, coloured and Indian brain drain.

The majority of South Africans, I’m positive, are not racists. But the ranting of public figures takes a toll on overall confidence in a stable future. Dynamics begin to spread tangentially. The white flight is becoming the every-skilled-person flight.

… Blacks, coloreds (as people of mixed race are known in South Africa) and Indians are also expressing the desire to leave. In the last 12 years, the number of blacks graduating in South Africa with advanced degrees has grown from 361,000 to 1.4 million a year. But in that time the number of those expressing high hopes to emigrate has doubled.

Fleeing From South Africa

Fourteen years after apartheid, why are the best and the brightest leaving Africa's most successful state?

A razor-wire fence in Yeoville, South Africa, a common sight due to an increasing crime rate

By Scott Johnson | NEWSWEEK
Published Feb 14, 2009
From the magazine issue dated Feb 23, 2009

No one should be surprised to read that Zimbabwe has suffered massive emigration in recent years, especially among its white minority. But much less expected is the fact that next-door South Africa, the continent's wealthiest and most developed country, is suffering a brain drain of its own (if on a smaller scale).

The South African government doesn't keep reliable emigration statistics. But even as the global financial crisis has caused emigration from most other countries to slow, a number of recent independent studies show that mass departures from South Africa are ongoing and are sapping the nation of its skilled and best-educated young citizens. The most dramatic figures can be found among South African whites, who are leaving at a pace consistent with the advent of "widespread disease, mass natural disasters or large-scale civil conflict," according to a report by the South African Institute on Race Relations. Some 800,000 out of a total white population of 4 million have left since 1995, by one count. But they're hardly alone. Blacks, coloreds (as people of mixed race are known in South Africa) and Indians are also expressing the desire to leave. In the last 12 years, the number of blacks graduating in South Africa with advanced degrees has grown from 361,000 to 1.4 million a year. But in that time the number of those expressing high hopes to emigrate has doubled.

This wasn't supposed to happen. In many ways, the new South Africa has lived up to its promise of racial harmony and equitable development; its enlightened Constitution, progressive economic policies, and wealth of human and natural resources have all kept it relatively stable since apartheid was swept away in 1994. But that stability could be jeopardized if its human capital keeps leaving at the current rate. South Africa has undergone massive swings in emigration for decades, including since the end of white rule. The shifts can be linked to changes in political stability and economic opportunity, as well as less worrisome factors like simple wanderlust. And all these same factors are at work now, but they've been accentuated by a violent crime epidemic, serious political upheaval and economic globalization. A poll conducted last May among 600 people of different races, ages and genders found that 20 percent were planning to leave the country. "We are now seeing a new tipping point for an exodus," warned another report from Future Fact, a polling agency. "But this time [it's] across-the-board in terms of race."

The primary driver for emigration among all groups, but especially whites, who still retain the majority of South Africa's wealth, is fear of crime. With more than 50 killings a day, South Africa has one of the highest per capita murder rates in the world. The same goes for rape—ranking the country alongside conflict zones such as Sierra Leone, Colombia and Afghanistan. Future Fact polling indicates that more than 95 percent of those eager to leave South Africa rate violent crime as the single most important factor affecting their thinking. Lynette Chen, the ethnic-Chinese CEO of Nepad Business Group, is the only member of her family left in South Africa. Her parents departed in 2002 after being carjacked—twice. Her brother, also a victim of crime, followed suit shortly thereafter. "They're always getting homesick," she says. "But they won't come back unless the crime is reduced."

Another largely unnoticed problem is the growing number of attacks on South Africa's white farmers. As in neighboring Zimbabwe, some of the attacks appear to be racially motivated. Others seem simply opportunistic, but the result is that white farmers' numbers continue to decrease, leading to fears that despite the government's good intentions, a Zimbabwe-style crisis—where the flight of skilled farmers led to an agricultural collapse—is possible here too.

Then there's the problem of affirmative action, which many whites feel limits their opportunities for advancement and which keeps many émigrés from returning. "You can attract people home, but there are still the same concerns when they get here," Chen says. "Crime and lack of job opportunities if you're not the right color."

Still another factor driving out citizens of all races is the country's political crisis. National elections are due in April, and the likely next president, Jacob Zuma, faces a battery of serious corruption charges and accusations of autocratic behavior. Zuma's ruling ANC party has been split by a rebellion of former loyalists, and increasing numbers of South Africans express concern with the health of their young democracy. The leadership vacuum has also distracted attention from pressing national concerns like energy. Last spring the country was engulfed in rolling "brownouts" as the electric grid ground to a halt because of mismanagement.

For all these reasons, even the global economic slowdown hasn't been enough to keep qualified South Africans at home. Of the country's 25,000 registered accountants, fully a quarter now live overseas. Engineers, doctors, nurses and accountants are all in increasingly short supply. In February, Health Minister Barbara Hogan said South Africa's doctors are "constantly being poached" by places like Canada, Australia and the United States—among the most popular destinations for wealthy white émigrés. Banks and investment companies are forced to look for talent overseas, and Eskom, the disgraced national electricity provider, has recently begun scrambling to attract electrical engineers back home, but with little success.

The long-term effects of this exodus are already being felt in other critical ways. The vast majority of South Africa's emigrants are also the country's best and brightest. Compounding the problem is the fact that while South Africa has lenient policies toward admitting refugees from elsewhere in Africa, the import of skilled labor is still quite onerous—meaning that as more and more trained workers leave, there are fewer and fewer replacements. Pretoria needs new policies to balance these flows, says Debbie Milner of Future Fact. "Africa has a huge amount of skilled people in it, and many other African countries have better education systems than our own."

To succeed, post-racial South Africa also needs to move nonwhite professionals quickly up the ranks in all sectors of its economy, and the government's black-empowerment plan centers on ensuring that more of its citizens get advanced degrees. But as growing numbers of these graduates express a desire to follow their white colleagues out the door, the prospects for continued economic empowerment are dimming. "We were dumbfounded by the incredibly high numbers of people who claim they're seriously considering leaving South Africa," Milner says. While unemployment for whites has increased more than 100 percent since the end of apartheid, it remains as low as an average European country, between 7 percent and 8 percent. Joblessness among blacks, on the other hand, is hovering at around 50 percent. "If the qualified nonwhites are leaving too, that is pretty dire for black economic empowerment," Milner says.

To be fair, not all the signs point in one direction. The global economic downturn has led to anecdotal reports of South Africans returning from the once hot economies of Europe and North America. Others who were recently on the verge of leaving have now decided to stay put, in some cases when their offers were rescinded at the last moment. "I don't dispute that people have left—I just dispute the high figures," says Martine Schaffer of the Homecoming Revolution, an NGO that helps returnees with logistical difficulties and to get reacquainted with a country that may have changed significantly in their absence. "Nothing indicates that they've all emigrated permanently."

That may be true. But if Pretoria hopes to drive development, it needs to act fast to keep the South African exodus from gaining momentum. For starters, the new president should make fighting crime a priority. South Africa's affirmative-action program should also be re-examined and tweaked, perhaps to emphasize economic status rather than race. Whites between the ages of 20 and 35—currently the group most susceptible to emigration—should be allowed to compete more forcefully for jobs. Such measures won't stop emigration entirely, certainly not while the country's leadership crisis continues. But South Africa faces no great new natural disaster or a war. Its vital statistics need to begin to reflect that.

© 2009

Source: Why We Are White Refugees

An entitlement culture of corruption vs. A crazy rule of law boere culture...

Basic resources will prove inadequate for populations exploding beyond natural limits, and we may discover truths about ourselves that we do not wish to know. In the end, the greatest challenge may be to our moral order.

Resource scarcity will be a direct cause of confrontation, conflict, and war. The struggle to maintain access to critical resources will spark local and regional conflicts that will evolve into the most frequent conventional wars of the next century. Today, the notion of resource wars leads the Westerner to think immediately of oil, but water will be the fundamental need of some states, anti-states, and peoples. We envision a need to preserve rainforests, but expanding populations will increasingly create regional shortages of food--especially when nature turns fickle. We are entering the century of "not enough," and we will bleed for things we previously could buy.

Gross overpopulation will destroy fragile possibilities for progress in much of the non-Western world, and much of this problem is the West's fault. Our well-intentioned introduction of relatively crude concepts of sanitation and disease control, combined with our determination to respond generously to local famines, has allowed populations to explode.
~ US Army War College: The Culture of Future Conflict: Overpopulation & Resource Scarcity will be the Direct Cause of Confrontation, Conflict, and War ~

An entitlement culture of corruption vs. A crazy rule of law boere culture...

Why We Are White Refugees

Our Culture Helps Us Grow Our Beliefs; Our Beliefs Tell Us What Is the Right Thing To Do...

There are those who say Huntley is a liar and a racist; are they correct, or are they simply in denial about the cultural realities, Huntley's case expose....?

Between 30 and 40 newspaper clippings were presented as evidence of life in South Africa. “One article exhibited was published in [the Daily Sun in 2004] by Africa Ka Mahamba. [It was] entitled ‘Taking from whites is not a crime’,” Kaplan said.

The article quotes the leader of the “Uhuru cultural club” as telling youngsters who attended a Human Rights Day celebration to steal from whites because “it is the right thing to do”.

A DISHONEST (?) BLACK MAN, SAYS:

South African Police Commissioner Says Criminals Greedy But Not Racist

Pan African News



South Africa's new police commissioner Bheki Cele is seen at the Presidential Guesthouse in Pretoria, Wednesday, 29 July 2009 (GCIS/SAPA)

JOHANNESBURG 2 September 2009 Sapa

Criminals do not target people because of their skin colour, national police commissioner Bheki Cele said on Wednesday.

"Criminals in South Africa... they look at what you have, rather than looking at your face," Cele said at a Southern African Regional Police Chiefs Co-operation Organisation meeting in Johannesburg.

He was reacting to a decision by Canadian authorities to grant South African Brandon Huntley refugee status for alleging that the government could not protect white South Africans from criminal attacks by "African South Africans".

"My house was broken into and some stuff was taken... and I remain black. Surely, my house was never broken into because I am black," said Cele.

Huntley told immigration officials in Canada that black people had attacked him on seven different occasions and that white people were not safe in South Africa.

He did not lay any charges with the police after any of the incidents, The Star newspaper reported on Wednesday.

"I've opened people's eyes," Huntley told the daily.

Canadian authorities granted him refugee status, to the ire of the ruling African National Congress.

The South African government was not asked to make any presentation in the case.

The chairman of the board who made the decision, William Davis, ruled that Huntley "was a victim because of his race rather than a victim of criminality".

"The evidence... shows a picture of indifference and inability or unwillingness of the government and the security forces to protect white South Africans from persecution by African South Africans," said Davis.

Home affairs spokesman Ronnie Mamoepa said the decision was based on "absolute rubbish", while the ANC described it as racist.

AN HONEST BLACK MAN SAYS:

Black Politicians Fiddle as SA Burns

Justice Malala: Monday Morning Matters, The Times

People take their example from corrupt leaders

A MAN becomes a ward councillor in a municipality. He is poor. Within three months he owns four minibus taxis and drives a big car.

How did he happen upon so much wealth so quickly? How can a municipal councillor who earns a modest salary afford such vast assets?

This is a true story. The man will prosper. He will not be investigated, arrested or face trial. No one informs on him. That is the way government works, people in his community say. He must eat while he can. Young people admire him and want to emulate him.

President Jacob Zuma and ANC secretary-general Gwede Mantashe do not seem to appreciate the level of corruption in their party. It is not just bad, as they intimated in two different addresses last week. Their country is burning and their party will be destroyed unless something changes.

Corruption in the public service is so rife, so endemic, so all-pervasive, that ordinary South Africans regard it as the normal way of doing things. In the municipalities, virtually no tender is awarded without some politician’s or official’s relative, friend or business associate being in on the game. If they are not, a bribe is paid. In queues for government services, even when dealing with the police, bribes change hands as a matter of course.

Mantashe came close to the heart of the problem when he spoke to 500 ANC councillors in Ekurhuleni last week. He said the scramble for resources, political in-fighting and the awarding of “jobs to pals” had the potential to destroy the party.

“One of the biggest problems facing us as the movement today is the interaction between business interests and holding public office,” Mantashe said.

He spoke days after newspapers reported that a top-level ANC document had revealed how political infighting, corruption and nepotism within the party’s ranks had brought at least 25 municipalities in North West to the brink of collapse.

The ANC’s response to this dire situation? On Wednesday, Zuma stood up in Parliament and said he had asked Minister for Public Service and Administration Richard Baloyi to “expedite” a “conflict of interest framework” and to send it to the Cabinet.

“The conflict of interest framework is meant to plug holes in public-service regulations,” Zuma said. “We will not tolerate or condone the abuse of public trust and public resources by any public official.”

This is what makes me want to weep in frustration.

The truth is that this country has no shortage of laws, rules and regulations.

Zuma’s declaration that new frameworks and other mechanisms are being introduced is pretty much more of the same.

The first problem here is that the ANC needs to acknowledge that many of the people sitting in public office really believe that they are entitled to enrich themselves.

This is the culture. If these individuals are not turning government business towards their own enterprises, or those they own through their relatives and friends, then they are taking bribes to pass business to certain businesses.

That culture starts at the top and permeates the whole system. Morality, values, have all disappeared. It is everyone for himself. That is why ministers believe they have a “right” to put extras in their official cars, such as television sets. It is the culture.

As Thabo Mbeki once put it, the voice in the politician’s ear bangs on: “Eat, eat, eat.”

And they do. And as they do, broader society says “Well, that is what is done.”

That is why so many people are turning to crime. The example is set by their political leaders, by the very same councillors who should be shepherding them on the path of law and order.

The culture is also perpetuated by the ANC’s continued blind pursuit of the “cadre deployment” policy. ANC leaders are largely deployed to take over municipalities where, once in power, service delivery takes a back seat as they engage in internal party battles.

They use government largesse to give their political backers business and to starve their opponents. But the businesses that they favour cannot deliver and so people suffer. The masses watch and say: “That is the way it is done.”

They too go off and steal, or ask for a bribe, or give one without a thought the consequences.

This is how the failed states of Nigeria, the DR Congo and others were born. The culture of bribery, lack of service delivery and impunity of public officials took hold. That is where we are headed unless something is done — soon.

TWO VERY, VERY HONEST MEN; ONE WHITE, ONE BLACK SAYS:

By any means that are necesarry

by Mike Smith, SA Sucks

South Africa is a criminal hell hole…A paradise for crooks and a hell for the law abiding common man. Relying on the police or the government to sort out crime is a waste of time…we all know that. Private security companies are either in on all the crime or in on all the money to be made…or both. I do not and have never, will never trust these private security companies. I always say that the worst thing that can happen to them is if there is no more crime…then they will make no more money. So in order to continue making money, crime has to continue.

There is an old saying, “If you want to know the root of the problem, follow the money”. Always ask yourself, “Who benefits?”

No…It is clear in my mind that we will have to take matters in our own hands if we are serious about ever wanting to stop crime. Crime against us will only stop if the message goes out and is Loud and Clear: “WE WILL NO LONGER BE ROBBED BY YOU SCUM!”.

Take this deluded White guy from Durban for instance. He has been robbed nine times in less than six months. He lived overseas and came back four years ago, because his father was sick and he wanted to start a business…oh and because he had Liberal delusions of grandeur…in his own words…

”Of all the countries that I have lived in, I have never experienced anything like this. I moved back to the country because my father was sick, and I just missed the country. I wanted to be patriotic and contribute towards bettering the country, and as a businessman I wanted to offer job opportunities to people who were unemployed. And this is the thanks I get,”

Hey? Do you also feel sick to the stomach after reading that? Sometime I do not understand these people. This guy by the name of Chad, now wants to install sensors at his back door at a huge costs and an electric fence…as he says he is doing everything possible to keep these guys away from his home. Really Chad? Everything?

Now if I was robbed once, I would feel a bit shitty about it and maybe let it slide. If I get robbed a second time in less than a month, I would think there is something fishy going on…By the third burglary, I would be waiting for the bastards…and I do not take shit.

In one of my previous neighbourhoods we had a spate of burglaries about ten years ago. The area was still new and a lot of the houses were not fenced yet and people have not installed burglar bars or alarms yet. We got fed up with the burglaries and one guy went around the neighbourhood dropping invitations to a meeting in everybody’s post boxes. So one Tuesday evening we all got together and even invited the police to attend. We told the police that they can tell us what our rights were and what we were allowed to do and what not, but we are going to start patrolling our streets at night, because we felt they were useless and not doing their jobs. Most of these policemen were at school with me and they were useless at school even so I knew them personally. I had no qualms telling them exactly what I thought of them.

We drew up a roster and divided the men two-two into shifts for two hours at a time. We armed ourselves with batons or clubs and flashlights. Once your two hours were up, you would go and wake up the next two guys. Sometimes we ran into the police patrolling the area at two or three in the morning, but not often. In our first week we caught four Kaffirs trying to break in. On two occasions I clubbed two of them with half a brick through the face. Every time the men were there in a split second all laying in boots and kicking the shit out of the Kaffirs. By the time the police arrived and asked why they were so full of blood, we would just pull up our shoulders and say, “The dogs bit them”…

I tell you what, after two weeks burglaries came to a complete stop. No Kaffir ever took a short cut through our area ever again. I still stayed there for many years and people raised their kids there with not so much as a single further break-in. All it took was two weeks of patrolling and making a few examples out of the bastards. Word got out amongst the Kaffirs that they should stay away from our area because “the Boere who lives there are fucking crazy”…as a Black guy told me once when he did not know I lived there and was one of those “Boere”.

They called me ‘a teacher, a fomentor of violence.’ I would say point blank, ‘That is a lie. I’m not for wanton violence, I’m for justice. I feel that if white people were attacked by Negroes-if the forces of law prove unable, or inadequate, or reluctant to protect those whites from those Negroes-then those white people should protect and defend themselves from those Negroes, using arms if necessary. And I feel that when the law fails to protect Negroes from whites’ attack then those Negroes should use arms, if necessary, to defend themselves.’…’I am speaking against and my fight is against white racists. I firmly believe that Negroes have the right to fight against these racists, by any means that are necessary.’
Malcolm X. The Autobiography of Malcolm X, pgs. 373-374.

Source: Why We Are White Refugees